Congress Is Suddenly Waking Up to the AI Doomsday Threat8m ago The AI safety vibe shift1h ago Sam Altman met with top power utilities about securing the electrical grid. He offered one possible solution: OpenAI's cyber services.1h ago OpenAI Is Open to Slowing Cutting-Edge AI, CEO Sam Altman Tells Staff2h ago Tencent-Backed Chipmaker Enflame Jumps 188% in Shanghai Debut2h ago Salesforce introduces Enterprise AI Harness, AI Control Plane2h ago The Race for the Next Big Weight-Loss Drug Is On—and China Wants In2h ago How Social Media Platforms Are Identifying AI Content3h ago DeepSeek launches V4.1-Flash and retires V4-Pro, its flagship model3h ago OpenAI Wants to Know if an AI Industry Slowdown Would Even Be Legal3h ago Oracle Posts Cloud Sales That Top Estimates on AI Demand3h ago iPhone 18 Pro Max vs Samsung Galaxy S26 Ultra: How these XL phones compete3h ago AWS open-sources Pizza Bot: email-style inbox for background AI agents3h ago ToolGrad: Efficient tool-use dataset generation with textual "gradients"3h ago

Congress Is Suddenly Waking Up to the AI Doomsday Threat8m ago The AI safety vibe shift1h ago Sam Altman met with top power utilities about securing the electrical grid. He offered one possible solution: OpenAI's cyber services.1h ago OpenAI Is Open to Slowing Cutting-Edge AI, CEO Sam Altman Tells Staff2h ago Tencent-Backed Chipmaker Enflame Jumps 188% in Shanghai Debut2h ago Salesforce introduces Enterprise AI Harness, AI Control Plane2h ago The Race for the Next Big Weight-Loss Drug Is On—and China Wants In2h ago How Social Media Platforms Are Identifying AI Content3h ago DeepSeek launches V4.1-Flash and retires V4-Pro, its flagship model3h ago OpenAI Wants to Know if an AI Industry Slowdown Would Even Be Legal3h ago Oracle Posts Cloud Sales That Top Estimates on AI Demand3h ago iPhone 18 Pro Max vs Samsung Galaxy S26 Ultra: How these XL phones compete3h ago AWS open-sources Pizza Bot: email-style inbox for background AI agents3h ago ToolGrad: Efficient tool-use dataset generation with textual "gradients"3h ago

AI Research Society & Culture29 min reading time

Tracking Public Predictions with AI

Hacker NewsPublished 6 days ago

Several AI experts have publicly forecasted timelines for achieving artificial general intelligence (AGI) and potential risks. Shane Legg predicts a 50% chance of AGI by 2028, Demis Hassabis estimates AGI within 5 to 10 years from 2025, and Geoffrey Hinton foresees a 50% chance of an AI takeover attempt within 5 to 20 years.

#ai-risk-forecasting #demis-hassabis #geoffrey-hinton #google-deepmind #shane-legg

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